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Predicting Emerging Diseases

Which Primate is the Most Likely Source of the Next Pandemic?
Smithsonian Surprising Science Blog April 22, 2013

photo by AfrikaForce

photo by AfrikaForce

“…Most emerging infectious diseases in humans have indeed arisen from animals… Therefore, experts prioritize the task of figuring out which animals in which regions of the world are most prone to delivering the latest novel pathogen to hapless humanity.

With this in mind, researchers at Harvard University, the University of Granada and the University of Valencia set out to develop a new strategy for predicting the risk and rise of new diseases transmitted from animals before they happen, describing their efforts in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Centrality in primate–parasite networks reveals the potential for the transmission of emerging infectious diseases to humans
doi: 10.1073/pnas.1220716110 PNAS April 22, 2013
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School of Veterinary Medicine | One Health Institute |
PREDICT
:  Building global surveillance to detect and prevent spillover of pathogens of pandemic potential

USAID PREDICT Summary

.Morse SS, Mazet JA, Woolhouse M, Parrish CR, Carroll D, Karesh WB, Zambrana-Torrelio C, Lipkin WI, Daszak P.
Prediction and prevention of the next pandemic zoonosis
Lancet 2012 Dec 1;380(9857):1956-65 PMID: 23200504

“…In order to predict, respond to, and prevent the emergence of novel infectious diseases in humans, pathogens must be identified at their source. The PREDICT project, led by Principal Investigator and Co-Director Dr. Jonna A.K. Mazet, DVM, MVPM, PhD of the UC Davis School of Veterinary Medicine and Co-Director Stephen S. Morse, PhD of the Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, recognizes that explosive human population growth and environmental changes have resulted in increased numbers of people living in close contact with animals.

PREDICT, a project of USAID’s Emerging Pandemic Threats Program, is building a global early warning system to detect and reduce the impacts of emerging diseases that move between wildlife and people (zoonotic diseases)…”

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